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2 posts found by Archie Tulloch

‘Are the French headed for a Frexit?’

The market is currently eyeing the upcoming French Presidential election with a cautious view as many associate a win for Ms. Le Pen with a French departure from the Euro-zone. What seems partially misunderstood is quite how much of a stretch ‘Frexit’ actually is – to focus on the 1st round of the Presidential election is to ignore the number of hurdles required to see France follow in the UK’s footsteps. Below, I explain what would be required for this event to unfold and why this appears unlikely. Source:…

‘Brexit Outcome Divides Opinion’

Robert Orben, a US comedian, once asked the question – “Do you ever get the feeling that the only reason we have elections is to find out if the polls were right?” Certainly, in recent years, the reliability of the polls to accurately reflect a UK voting outcome has been questionable. With the EU referendum under two months away and the polls providing no signs of a definitive winner, Brexit fears weigh on the market. Taking a look at the the odds provided by the nation’s bookmakers, however, shows…