Argonautica

Professional investors can review published thought leadership and market updates from the Argonaut Investment Team.

3 posts found for May 2013

‘The Bundesliga & Sky Deutschland 1 – The English Premier League & BSKYB 0’

This weekend will see the UEFA Champions’ League final contested at Wembley, the home of English football, by Germany’s top two sides, Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund. By way of contrast this was the first season since 1995-6 that no English club has progressed to at least the quarter-final of the competition. Next season will also see former Barcelona manager Pep Guardiola take over at Munich having reportedly spurned job offers from the top English clubs. For many this illustrates a shift of…

‘The ECB: Is Mario about to put on his superhero tights?’

We recently wrote that we live in an age of central bank heroics. But so far it’s all talk from the ECB. As we can see from the table below whereas continued asset purchases from the Federal Reserve and those announced by the Bank of Japan have significantly increased the size of central bank balance sheets in the US and Japan since the start of the year, the balance sheet of the ECB has actually shrunk to 27% of Eurozone GDP from 32%, largely as a result of €276bn of LTRO liquidity being repaid1.…

‘Do You Have Enough Equity in UK Property?’

Industries and stocks enjoying earnings upgrades are becoming increasingly scarce and hence, we would argue, more valuable. In particular median earnings estimates for the UK homebuilders have, over the last three months, been upgraded by 3%, 8% and 11% respectively for this year and each of the next two years1. These upgrades are being driven primarily by improving margins, due to the dwindling proportion of higher priced pre-2008 land in the sales mix – a fact now well known to the market and baked…